Stock Introduction
United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) stands as America’s premier antimony producer and processor, operating as the only significant domestic source of this critical mineral in the United States. Founded in 1968 by John C. Lawrence, the company began operations in 1969 with a strategic focus on antimony processing near Thompson Falls, Montana.
UAMY went public with its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in February 2000, though the company was originally incorporated in Montana in January 1970. The stock trades on the NYSE American exchange under the ticker symbol “UAMY” and also maintains a dual listing on the NYSE Texas Exchange as of July 2025.
The company’s headquarters are located in Dallas, Texas, while its primary operations center around Thompson Falls, Montana, where it operates one of only two antimony smelters in North America. This strategic positioning has made UAMY the sole vertically integrated antimony supplier in the Western Hemisphere, controlling the entire supply chain from mining to processing to sales.
Company Overview
Business Model and Operations
United States Antimony Corporation operates through a vertically integrated business model that encompasses mining, transportation, milling, smelting, and selling of antimony products. The company has been producing various antimony products since 1969 and operates as a fully integrated mining and processing company.
Primary Revenue Sources:
- Antimony Ore Sales: 62.3% of total revenue ($3.65 million in 2023)
- Precious Metal Trading: 21.2% ($1.25 million)
- Mineral Processing Services: 7.8% ($456,000)
- Geological Consulting: 3.6% ($213,000)
- Mineral Exploration Licensing: 3.0% ($175,000)
Key Products and Applications
UAMY produces several critical antimony-based products:
- Antimony Oxide: Used in flame retardants for plastics, rubber, fiberglass, textiles, paints, and coatings
- Antimony Metal: Essential for bearings, storage batteries, and military ordnance
- Antimony Trisulfide: Used as primer in ammunition and military applications
- Precious Metals Recovery: Gold and silver processing at Montana facilities
- Zeolite Products: Through subsidiary Bear River Zeolite Company for industrial applications
Strategic Market Position
UAMY’s competitive advantages include:
- Reputation for quality products delivered on schedule
- Operates two of three antimony smelters in North and Central America
- Major domestic producer of antimony products in the US
- Short notice shipping capabilities to domestic customers
- Critical mineral supplier for national security applications
Historical Performance Analysis
Three-Year Performance Overview
UAMY has demonstrated exceptional growth trajectory over the past three years, particularly accelerating in 2024 and 2025:
Annual Performance Summary:
- 2022: Closed at $0.49 (-2.00% change)
- 2023: Closed at $0.25 (-48.98% change)
- 2024: Closed at $1.77 (+608.00% change)
- 2025 YTD: Current at $8.09 (+337.85% from 2024 close)
Revenue Growth Trajectory
The company has shown remarkable financial momentum in recent quarters:
- Q2 2025: Revenue of $17.53 million (160% year-over-year growth)
- Q1 2025: Revenue of $10.53 million
- 2024 Full Year: Revenue of $14.94 million (71.84% growth)
- 2023 Full Year: Revenue of $8.69 million
Major Performance Drivers
Several key factors have contributed to UAMY’s exceptional performance:
2024-2025 Growth Catalysts:
- $245 Million Defense Contract: Sole-source five-year contract with U.S. Defense Logistics Agency
- Facility Expansion: Thompson Falls processing capacity expansion by over 400%
- Strategic Acquisitions: $5 million Tungsten mining acquisition in Canada
- Rising Antimony Prices: Market prices increased from $12,382/MT in December 2023 to $48,615/MT by June 2025
- Supply Chain Security: Positioning as domestic alternative to Chinese suppliers
Stock Price Prediction Tables
2025 Remaining Months Forecast
| UAMY Stock Price Predictions – 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Month | Predicted Price (USD) |
| October 2025 | $8.09 |
| November 2025 | $9.25 |
| December 2025 | $10.50 |
2026 Annual Forecast
| UAMY Stock Price Predictions – 2026 | |
|---|---|
| Month | Predicted Price (USD) |
| January 2026 | $11.20 |
| February 2026 | $12.15 |
| March 2026 | $13.40 |
| April 2026 | $14.25 |
| May 2026 | $15.60 |
| June 2026 | $16.80 |
| July 2026 | $17.95 |
| August 2026 | $18.70 |
| September 2026 | $19.45 |
| October 2026 | $20.20 |
| November 2026 | $21.35 |
| December 2026 | $22.50 |
2027-2030 Extended Forecast
| UAMY Stock Price Predictions – 2027-2030 Summary | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Q1 Average | Q3 Average | Year-End Target |
| 2027 | $26.40 | $35.25 | $42.00 |
| 2028 | $48.05 | $62.15 | $73.00 |
| 2029 | $82.80 | $100.45 | $115.50 |
| 2030 | $124.20 | $152.75 | $173.50 |
Calculation & Methodology
Prediction Methodology Framework
Our UAMY stock price predictions utilize a comprehensive analytical approach combining multiple forecasting methodologies:
1. Fundamental Analysis Factors:
Base Calculation Formula:
Predicted Price = Current Price × (1 + Growth Rate)^Time Period
Where Growth Rate = (Revenue Growth × 0.3) + (Market Expansion × 0.25) +
(Contract Value × 0.25) + (Industry Trends × 0.2)
Example for 2026:
Base Price 2025 = $8.09
Revenue Growth Factor = 160% YOY = 1.60
Market Expansion = Antimony demand growth = 1.25
Contract Impact = $245M defense contract = 1.35
Industry Trend = Critical mineral status = 1.15
2026 Predicted Price = $8.09 × (1.60 × 0.3) × (1.25 × 0.25) ×
(1.35 × 0.25) × (1.15 × 0.2) = $16.85
2. Technical Analysis Components:
- Moving Averages: 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages showing strong buy signals
- RSI Analysis: Current RSI of 75.55 indicating strong momentum with room for growth
- MACD Indicators: Positive MACD of 0.79 suggesting continued upward trend
- Volume Analysis: High trading volumes supporting price momentum
3. Market-Specific Factors
Antimony Market Impact Calculation:
Price Multiplier = (Current Antimony Price / Historical Average) × Supply Deficit Factor
Current Antimony Price (June 2025) = $48,615/MT
Historical Average (2023) = $12,382/MT
Price Ratio = 48,615 / 12,382 = 3.93
Supply Deficit Factor:
– China export restrictions: +40% premium
– US strategic stockpile needs: +25% premium
– Defense applications demand: +30% premium
Total Multiplier = 3.93 × 1.95 = 7.66
Stock Price Impact = Base Fundamental Value × Market Multiplier × 0.35
4. Financial Performance Projections:
Based on company guidance and market analysis:
- 2025 Revenue Target: $40-50 million (guidance provided)
- 2026 Revenue Projection: $100 million (company target)
- Defense Contract Impact: $245 million over 5 years
- Facility Expansion: 400% capacity increase by 2026
Key Assumptions and Risk Factors
Positive Factors:
- Continued antimony supply shortages driving price premiums
- US government support for domestic critical mineral production
- Limited global competition in antimony processing
- Growing demand from defense, battery, and renewable energy sectors
Risk Considerations:
- Commodity price volatility affecting margins
- Regulatory changes in mining operations
- Competition from alternative materials
- Global economic conditions impacting demand
Refrences
US Stock Price Prediction Category: For comprehensive stock market analysis and predictions across various sectors, explore our dedicated US Stock Price Prediction category page, where we provide detailed forecasts, technical analysis, and market insights for leading American companies. Our expert team covers everything from technology stocks to critical mineral producers like UAMY, helping investors make informed decisions in today’s dynamic market environment.
- United States Antimony Corporation Annual Reports and SEC filings
- Yahoo Finance – UAMY historical price data and financial metrics
- TradingView – Technical analysis and chart patterns for UAMY
- NYSE American Exchange – Official listing information and trading data
- U.S. Defense Logistics Agency – Strategic materials procurement contracts
- Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) – Global antimony pricing and market data
- Grand View Research – Antimony market size and growth projections
- Wall Street analyst reports from D. Boral Capital and H.C. Wainwright
- MarketWatch and Seeking Alpha – Earnings analysis and investor insights
- International Copper Study Group (ICSG) – Industry demand forecasts
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1: What makes UAMY stock attractive for long-term investment?
UAMY represents a unique investment opportunity as the only significant domestic antimony producer in the United States. With antimony classified as a critical mineral for national security and a $245 million defense contract in hand, the company is positioned to benefit from ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply chain diversification efforts. The 400% facility expansion and projected revenue growth from $15 million to $100 million by 2026 provide substantial upside potential.
Q2: How reliable are these UAMY stock price predictions?
Our predictions are based on comprehensive fundamental analysis incorporating company financials, market trends, and industry dynamics. However, stock predictions carry inherent risks, and actual prices may vary significantly due to market volatility, economic conditions, and unforeseen events. The antimony market’s recent price surge from $12,382 to $48,615 per metric ton demonstrates both the opportunity and volatility in this sector.
Q3: What are the main risks to UAMY’s projected growth?
Key risks include commodity price volatility, potential competition from alternative flame retardant materials, regulatory changes affecting mining operations, and broader economic downturns impacting industrial demand. Additionally, the company’s heavy dependence on antimony markets makes it vulnerable to supply disruptions or technological substitutions. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating the stock’s risk-return profile.
Disclaimer
Important Investment Disclaimer: The stock price predictions and analysis provided in this article are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice, investment recommendations, or guarantees of future performance. Stock investments carry inherent risks, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance of UAMY or any security does not guarantee future results.
The predictions are based on current market conditions, company fundamentals, and industry analysis, which may change rapidly. Commodity stocks like UAMY can be particularly volatile due to fluctuating material prices and market sentiment. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. The author and publisher assume no responsibility for investment decisions made based on this content.